Rising From The Dead – French Industry

Monday, March 24th 2014, is the day for European Flash PMI. The data for March show that services and manufacturing sectors in France are expanding while contracting in Germany. The French flash Composite Output Index rose to 31-month high of 51.6, up from 47.6 in February and above estimates. Services sector expanded for the first time and…

Is Shanghai Composite Coming To Life?

Shanghai Composite peaked in October 2007 at 6124 after rising almost six fold from July 2005 low of 1015. Then along with rest of the global equity markets it crashed, finally bottoming in October 2008 by reaching a low of 1665. Since then once a global leader, it has been a global laggard. In the…

Battle of Two Patterns

For the past few months, Dow Jones Industrial Average is not giving clear signals which direction it will go. This confusion is due to the uncertainty created by many current and future events around the world. European financial crisis is going strong and the policy makers are not able to devise a cohesive strategy to…

EUR/GBP Has Some More Room To Go Down

Despite an economy that is sinking deeper in recession, British Pound has done quite well against the euro. One of the causes is the uncertainty about eurozone due to the Greek crisis. As Greece grapples with her debt and insolvency issues, the number of alternatives available to her is decreasing. One alternative is that she…

30 Yr. Yields Testing Lower Channel Limit

30-Yr. Treasuries have been in a long term bull market. Take a look at the monthly chart of $TNX — the 30-Yr T-Bond Yields, which trends opposite of the 30-Yr. T-Bond prices. From February 1994 to June 2003 it was in a steep downward trend with rates fluctuating within a downward sloping channel of 160…

US $ – Does it Look Like it is Going to Rally?

US dollar has been a good indicator of risk-off/risk-on trade for quite some time. Whenever investors become unsure of the economic conditions and when the fear level increases they flock towards US treasuries and US dollar. In the currency domain, Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen trump dollar’s safe haven status and they normally go up…