Equities Outperforming Other Asset Classes U.S. Treasury Bonds ($USB) have risen since October 2018 (see Panel 1, Chart 1) after mostly declining from a high of 176.06 in June 2016 to a low of 136.40 in October 2018. It is approaching the high, 157.94, of Q3 2017. On relative basis, $USB is under-performing the equities,…
The large cap indices – S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) – are in confirmed uptrend along with the tech-heavy NASADAQ Composite. Their all three timeframes – monthly, weekly and daily – are showing varying degree of uptrend and bullish chart formations. The broader market index, Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index, is also…
Trading is a serious and a funny business. On the one hand it requires a tremendous amount of patience, subject knowledge, skills and experience. On the other hand it also requires a good amount of luck although many will say this for the luck part. Similarly there are legions of past, current and wannabe traders who…
Paraphrasing an old adage, the economic expansions do not die of old-age and the current expansion, even though it has become the longest in the U.S history, is in no danger of ending anytime soon. Another old adage is that the stock market is not the economy and the economy is not the stock market,…
Note: The charts and data are as of Friday April 5, 2019. To enlarge please click on charts. International Equities World equities are on an upswing. The S&P 500 stumbled a bit in the early part of 2018 and then again in Q4 too but since then it is rising consistently (see Chart 1) It…
Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are higher; The odds are for an up day with elevated volatility – watch for break below 2861.50 for change of fortune Key economic data due: Building Permits ( 1.34 M vs. 1.27M est. ; prev. 1.23M ) at 8:30 AM Housing Starts ( 1.19M vs. 1.26M est.…
Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are higher; The odds are for a highly volatile and choppy day Key economic data due: Retail Sales (0.7% vs. 0.3% est.; prev. 0.4%) at 8:30 AM Core Retail Sales (1.0% vs. 0.4% est.; prev. 0.4%) at 8:30 AM Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (16.8 vs. 10.1 est.; prev.…
Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are lower; The odds are for a down day with elevated volatility – watch for break above 2907.00 for change of fortune Key economic data due: Import Prices (est. 0.0%; prev. -0.9%) at 8:30 AM Markets Around The World Markets in the East closed up European markets are…
Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are lower; The odds are for a down day with elevated volatility – watch for break above 2880.75 and 2883.25 for change of fortune Key economic data due: CPI (0.3% vs. 0.3% est.; prev. 0.1%) at 8:30 AM Core CPI (0.3% vs. 0.2% est.; prev. 0.3%) at 8:30…
Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are lower; The odds are for a down day with elevated volatility – watch for break above 2009.25 for change of fortune No key economic data due: Markets Around The World Markets in the East closed mostly higher – Hong Kong was closed; Tokyo, Mumbai and Singapore were…
Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are lower; Drifting down since NYSE close The odds are for a sideways to a down day with elevated volatility – watch for break above 2935.75 for change of fortune Key economic data due: PPI (est. 0.2%; prev. 0.1%) at 8:30 AM Core PPI ( est. 0.2%; pre.…
Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are higher; Near the upper bound of a symmetrical triangle The odds are for a sideways to an up day with elevated volatility – watch for break below 2881.25 for change of fortune Key economic data due: Unemployment Claims (209K vs. 215K est.; pre. 217K) at 8:15 AM…
Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are lower; Double top formation on 30-minute chart; broke below the intermediate low of two highs; 61.8% extension target is near 2836.00 level The odds are for a down day with elevated volatility – watch for break above 2870.50 for change of fortune No key economic data due…
Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are higher but have recovered only 20% of Monday’s decline The odds are for an up day with elevated volatility – watch for break below 2831.50 for change of fortune Key economic data due: JOLTS Job Openings (est. 7.34M; prev. 7.2M) at 10:00 AM IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (est.…
Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are sharply lower The odds are for a down – watch for break above 2895.25 for change of fortune Key economic data due: Final Service PMI (4est. 52.2; prev. 52.2) at 9:45 AM ISM Non-Manufacturing OMI (est. 55.5; prev. 55.1) at 10:00 AM Markets Around The World Markets…