Directional Bias For The Day:
- S&P Futures are lower;
- The odds are for a down to sideways day – watch for a break above 4513.25 for a change of fortunes
- Key economic data report due during the day:
- Unemployment Claims ( 310K vs. 343K est.; prev. 345K) at 8:30 AM
Directional Bias Before Open:
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Key Levels:
- Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 4506.11, 4493.95, and 4487.62
- Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 4515.98, 4521.65, and 4527.78
- Key levels for E-mini futures: break above 4512.50, the high of 8:00 PM and break below 4497.25, the low of 7:30 AM
Pre-Open
- On Wednesday at 4:00 PM, S&P futures (September 2021) closed at 4513.00 and the index closed at 4514.07 – a spread of about -1.00 points; futures closed at 4512.50 for the day; the fair value is +0.50
- Pre-NYSE session open, futures are lower – at 8:30 AM, S&P 500 futures were down by -6.00; Dow by -40; and NASDAQ by -6.00
Markets Around The World
- Markets in the East closed mixed – Shanghai, Mumbai, and Singapore closed higher; Hong Kong, Tokyo, Syndey, and Seoul closed lower
- European markets are lower
- Currencies (from two weeks ago):
Up Down - EUR/USD
- GBP/USD
- USD/JPY
- USD/CHF
- AUD/USD
- NZD/USD
- USD/CAD
- Dollar index
- INR/USD
- Commodities (from two weeks ago):
- Energy futures are higher
- Precious metals are higher
- Industrial metals are lower
- Most soft commodities are mostly lower
- Treasuries (from two weeks ago)
- 10-years yield closed at 1.336%, down -0.6 basis points from two weeks ago;
- 30-years is at 1.950%, down -0.9 basis points;
- 2-years yield is at 0.220%, down -2.2 basis points;
- The 10-Year-&-2-Year spread is at 1.116, up from 1.100
- VIX
- At 18.40 @ 8:00 AM; up from the last close; above 5-day SMA;
- Recent high = 24.74 on August 19; low = 15.19 on August 13
- Sentiment: Risk-Off-Neutral
The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500:
Monthly |
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Weekly: |
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Daily |
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2-Hour (E-mini futures) |
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30-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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15-Minute (E-mini futures) |
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Previous Session
Major U.S. indices closed lower on Wednesday, September 8 in mostly higher volume. Dow Jones Industrial Average traded in lower volume.
Only one S&P sector – Technology – closed up. Energy, Health Care, and Telecom closed unchanged and all others closed lower.
From Briefing.com:
The major indices closed lower on Wednesday, as investors digested another negative-sounding news cycle. The S&P 500 (-0.1%) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.2%) finished slightly lower, the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.6%, and the Russell 2000 struggled with a 1.1% decline. […] The 10-yr yield decreased four basis points to 1.33%, while the 2-yr yield increased one basis point to 0.22%. The U.S. Dollar Index increased 0.2% to 92.71. WTI crude futures rose 1.4%, or $0.92, to $69.32/bbl.
[…][…]
- Consumer credit increased by $17.0 bln in July (Briefing.com consensus $28.0B) after increasing an upwardly revised $37.9 bln (from $37.6 bln) in June.
- […]
- Job openings increased to a record-high of 10.934 million in July from a revised 10.185 million (from 10.073 million) in June.
- The weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index decreased 1.9% following a 2.4% decline in the prior week.
- S&P 500 +20.2% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +18.6% YTD
- Russell 2000 +13.9% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +14.5% YTD
Overseas:
- Europe: DAX -1.5%, FTSE -0.8%, CAC -0.9%
- Asia: Nikkei +0.9%, Hang Seng -0.1%, Shanghai flat
Commodities:
- Crude Oil +0.97 @ 69.35
- Nat Gas +0.36 @ 4.94
- Gold -4.80 @ 1795.00
- Silver -0.34 @ 24.08
- Copper -0.04 @ 4.24
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