Intermarket Analysis
Equities Outperforming Other Asset Classes U.S. Treasury Bonds ($USB) have risen since October 2018 (see Panel 1, Chart 1) after mostly declining from a high of 176.06 in June 2016 to a low of 136.40 in October 2018. It is approaching the high, 157.94, of Q3 2017. On relative basis, $USB is under-performing the equities,…
Monthly Chart Indicates Pause in Uptrend For the month of August 2018, the dollar index made a shooting star pattern (see Fig 1). The shooting star is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs after a rally. The index has been rising since making a low of 88.15 on February 16, 2018. So even though the…
Since the beginning of May 2016, the U.S. Dollar Index has been on an uptrend and making bullish chart pa. It got a fresh boost in November with renewed conviction in an imminent Fed Fund rate increase. Also, fueling the rise is a greater possibility of fiscal stimulus, which would expand the U.S. economy. However, former…
Major U.S. Indices Knocking on The Upper Channel Line The thirteenth week of the year was a downer for the market. The broader market index, NYSE Composite, and the big-cap S&P 500 declined for the fourth time in the last five weeks. Tech heavy NASDAQ was down for the third times in the past five weeks and the…