Market Remarks

Almanac Trader Alert – July Expiration

The expiration day in July gives a bearish bias to the market that we have found to be trade-able in our Almanac Trader portfolio. Since 2000, using 1X and 2X index ETFs, our strategy produced 56 trades for 64% success rate. The average gain is 1.6% for an average of one-day holding period giving an annualized return of 568.4%.

Seq. ETF # of Trades Win % Avg. Return Avg. Days Annualized
1 DIA/DXD 14 57% 1.2% 1 440%
2 SPY/SDS 14 64% 1.3% 1 462%
2 QQQ/QID 14 71% 2.0% 1 728%
2 IWM/TWM 14 64% 1.8% 1 548%

At the end of today we will go long:

  • DXD – ProShares Ultra Short Dow 30
  • SDS – ProShares Ultra Short S&P
  • QID – ProShare Ultra Short QQQ
  • TWM – ProShares Ultra Short Russell 2K

 

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