Market Remarks

Morning Notes – Wednesday September 13, 2017

Directional Bias For The Day:

  • S&P Futures are lower
  • Moving lower since 6:00 PM on September 12
  • Odds are for a sideways to down – watch for break above 2495.50 for a change of fortunes
  • Key economic data due:
    • PPI (0.2% vs. 0.3% est.) at 8:30 AM
    • Core PPI (0.1% vs. 0.2% est.) at 8:30 AM

Markets Around The World

  • Markets in the East closed mixed – Shanghai, Tokyo and Mumbai closed higher; Hong Kong, Sydney and Seoul closed lower; the intra-day trend was sideways to up; Sydney and Mumbai pulled back late in the day
  • European markets are mostly higher – U.K. and STOXX 600 are down; intra-day trend is sideways
  • Currencies:
    Up Down
    • EUR/USD
    • AUD/USD
    • Dollar index
    • USD/JPY
    • GBP/USD
    • USD/CHF
    • NZD/USD
    • USD/CAD
  • Commodities are mostly down
    Up Down
    • Crude Oil
    • NatGas
    • Gold
    • Silver
    • Platinum
    • Sugar
    • Coffee
    • Cocoa
    • Copper
    • Palladium
    • Cotton
  • 10-yrs yield is at 2.160% down from September 12 close of 2.171%; 30-years is at 2.765% down from 2.775%

Key Levels:

  • Critical support levels for S&P 500 are 2490.37, 2480.99 and 2472.2
  • Critical resistance levels for S&P 500 are 2498.71, 2500.94 and 2505.11
  • Key levels for eMini futures: break above 2495.0, the high of 6:00 PM on September 12 and break below 2489.00, the low of 3:30 AM

Pre-Open

  • On Tuesday, at 4:00 PM, S&P future (December contract) closed at 2494.25 and the index closed at 2496.48 – a spread of about 2.25 points; futures closed at 2494.25 for the day; the fair value is 0.00
  • Pre-NYSE session open, futures price action is little change to down – at 8:45 AM, S&P 500 futures were down by -3.00; Dow by -15.00; and NASDAQ by -10.00

Directional Bias Before Open

  • Weekly: Up-to-Side
  • Daily: Up-to-Side
  • 120-Min: Side-to-Up
  • 30-Min: Side-to-Up

The trend and patterns on various time frames for S&P 500 are:

Monthly
  • Confirmed Uptrend
  • Uptrend resumption since Feb 08, 2016 after a pull back of -15.2%
Weekly:
  • A red harami candle within a large green candle for the week ending on Friday September 8; almost 1.2% below all time high of 2490.87 reached during the week ending on August 11
  • Last week’s pivot point 2459.98; R1=2473.42, R2=2485.40; S1=2448.00, S2=2434.56; none of the resistance or support levels were breached
  • A down week – third in last five weeks; fourth in last ten weeks
  • Broke above a down sloping flag (2378.36) on April 24, which has bullish implications; first target is near 2520.00 and the second target is near 2640.00
  • Broke above a down-sloping flag on November 14, 2016; first target of 2285.92 is achieved; second target is near 2467.50
  • Last swing low, 2322.25, was the low on March 27, 2017
  • Bouncing off 10-week EM; above 39-week SMA and 89-week SMA
  • Confirmed uptrend, though pulling back and moving sideways since June 5
Daily
  • A small green candle that gapped up with no upper shadow and a small lower shadow; all time closing high and intra-day
  • Last pattern, a down-sloping flag in June that was broken to the upside on July 13, is nullified when price broke below 2430.00; however, the index was below 2430.00 for only one day and the pattern may be revived
  • Above 20-day EMA, which is above 50-day EMA; Above 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA
  • Pivot Point=2494.71; R1=2498.71, R2=2500.94; S1=2492.31, S2=2488.14; R1 was breached
  • Uptrend under pressure; mostly moving sideways since June 2 between 2490.00 and 2410.00
2-Hour (e-mini future)
  • Futures drifting lower ever so slightly since 6:00 PM on September 12
  • Last pattern ABCD; the second target, CD=AB*1.618 near 2493.25, was achieved
  • Sequence of higher high and higher low since 12:00 PM September 5
  •  At/above flattening 20-bar EMA, which is above rising 50-bar EMA
30-Minute (e-mini future)
  • Moving lower from the high of 2495.50 reached at 6:00 PM on September 12; at Tuesday’s pre-NYSE open level
  • Higher high and higher lows since 5:00 AM on August 29 with one exception
  • Breaking up from a sideways move since 8:30 AM on August 31 between 2479.50 and a low of 2455.50
  • At/below drooping 20-bar EMA, which is above flattening 50-bar EMA

Previous Session

Major U.S. indices closed higher on Tuesday September 12 in a follow through of the big gain on Monday. Tuesday also opened up with a gap which did not fill during the day. 1 after a gap up open. The gap was not filled during the day. The intra-day trend was mostly sideways for S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Wilshire 5000 Total Market index. Other gradually moved higher during the day.

  • S&P 500 Sectors
Up Down
  1. Industrials
  2. Finance
  3. Heath Care
  4. Consumer Discretionary
  5. Consumer Staples
  6. Energy
  7. Materials
  8. Technology
  1. Utility
  2. Real Estate

 

Exit mobile version