Morning Notes – Monday August 14, 2017

Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are higher Uptrend since the low of 2430.25 at 7:30 AM on August 11; at 38.6% Fibonacci  retracement Broke above a downtrend line from August 8 high Odds are for an up day – watch for break below 2447.25 for a change of fortunes No Key economic data due Markets Around The World Markets in the East closed mostly higher;…

Morning Notes – Friday August 11, 2017

Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are higher Were lower for Asian session, early European session and most of NYSE pre-open Broke above a horizontal channel and achieved 100% extension target of 2439.25 A bounce, perhaps a dead-cat bounce, is possible Odds are for a sideways to an up day – watch for break below 2430.25 for a change of fortunes Key economic…

Morning Notes – Thursday August 10, 2017

Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are sharply lower Moving down from 242474.50, high at 4:00 PM on August 9; second leg down from high of 2469.00 at 2:30 AM; forming a bearish ABCD pattern; 100% and 161.8% extension targets met Odds are for a down day – watch for break above 2469.00 for a change of fortunes Key economic data due: PPI (-0.1% vs. 0.1% est.); Core PPI…

Is It The Much Awaited Reversal?

One Day Reversal Candlestick With Bearish Divergence Major U.S. indices closed down on Tuesday August 8 2017 after S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, NYSE Composite and Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index made all time intra-day highs. They also closed in the lower half of the day’s range. This does constitute as one-day reversal candlestick…

Morning Notes – Wednesday August 9, 2017

Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are sharply lower Moving down from 2488.50, high at 12:00 PM on August 8; fresh leg down from high of 2468.00 at 3:00 AM; forming a bearish ABCD pattern with target near 2440.00 Odds are for a down day – watch for break above 2468.00 for a change of fortunes Key economic data due: Prelim Non-Far, Productivity (est. 0.7%) at…

Morning Notes – Tuesday August 8, 2017

Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are lower Moving down from 2477.75, high at 4:00 AM; forming a bearish ABCD pattern Odds are for a sideways to down day – watch for break above 2477.75 for a change of fortunes Key economic data due: JOLTS Job Opening (est. 5.74M) at 10:00 AM Markets Around The World Markets in the East closed mostly lower – Shanghai…

Equities Doing Better Than Other Asset Classes

The intermarket analysis says that it is still better to be invested in equities and bonds than in commodities and U.S. dollar. Equites and Bonds are Rising The 30-year U.S. Treasury Bonds, $USB, declined from July 2016 to March 2017 (First Panel Chart 1). It made double bottom near 147.00-146.00 level in December 2016 and…

Morning Notes – Monday August 7, 2017

Directional Bias For The Day: S&P Futures are higher Moving down from 2477.50, high at 9:00 PM on August 6 Odds are for a sideways to an up day – watch for break below 2472.75 for a change of fortunes No Key economic data due: Markets Around The World Markets in the East closed mostly higher – Mumbai was down European markets are mixed – Germany, France, Switzerland…

Analyzing Major U.S. Indices

Major U.S. indices are trending higher. Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ Composite are leading the overall market. Small caps mostly lagging. Relative Strength From the beginning of 2017, Dow Jones Industrial Average was performing similar to S&P 500. Since the middle of July 2017, DJIA is out-performing S&P 500 (Top Panel Chart 1). Since November 2016,…